What makes a trade unusual
Volume well above open interest, large premium (often $500K+), and short-dated contracts are the classic tells. Volume above open interest suggests new positions, not closing trades.
Sweeps vs blocks
A sweep splits an order across many exchanges at once to fill fast — urgency. A block is a single large, privately negotiated print. Sweeps paid at the ask suggest a buyer; at the bid, a seller.
Read the side, not just the size
A huge put trade could be a bet on a drop — or a hedge on a large stock position. Check whether it was bought or sold, the expiry and whether it lines up with an event like earnings.
The Najarian approach
Follow size and conviction, but use defined risk and a position small enough that being wrong is fine. Many unusual trades are hedges that lose money on purpose.
Common mistakes
- Assuming every big call buyer knows something.
- Copying a whale trade without knowing if it was opening or closing.
- Ignoring that institutions hedge — their loss may be your full loss.
